Energy

Trending Tactics – Trading made simple.

Trending Tactics with Pilkington Trading has a fresh new look. Please press the link below to see yesterday’s report that has the current trends and our entry points/stop losses on each product.

Trending Tactics 6.5.15

Trade all of the products in the report from anywhere, at any time with one low commission account.

Receive daily information on new buy/sell signals and where to move your stop-loss in relation to your current positions.

Trending Tactics looks to take the guesswork out of currency, commodity and index trading. Markets can be fast moving and unpredictable, but once they start a trend it can last a long time. This strategy consists of being long or short the instrument at all times with a stop and reversal order in place that moves constantly to limit risk and increase returns.

Since this strategy has been developed (1999), there have been staggering results as you can see from the far right column:

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Follow the link to find out more:

http://pilkingtontrading.com.au/trending-fx/

Please register your interest through the Contact Page if you would like to follow this simple, effective strategy.

Our Eyes Are On the Following….

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Most of my focus at the moment is offshore, predominantly in the US as we are seeing a strengthening USD and a falling AUD, meaning that when we close trades in USD, our profits in AUD are even greater. In the last six months alone, if you were to hold your cash in USD rather than in AUD in your Australian bank account, you would have returned approximately 17% alone as the Aussie Dollar has fallen away.

In terms of US names we are predominantly invested in the following companies:

Apple Inc. (AAPL) – Target price $137.00.

Citigroup (C) – Target price $73.00.

Rackspace (RAX) – Target price $55.00.

Monster Beverage Corp. (MNST) – Target price $136.00.

Another huge focus of my client’s portfolio’s is getting exposure to the WTI Light Crude Oil price through United States Oil Fund (USO) and PowerShares DB Oil fund (DBO) Exchange Traded Funds. I am expecting to see a bounce in the oil price in the next calendar year and looking to take advantage of this through these funds.

On the local front the names I have in mind at the moment are all yield plays essentially:

Most of the banks.

Telstra (TLS)

Wesfarmers (WES)

Woolworths (WOW)

Flight Centre (FLT)

Woodside Petroleum (WPL) – again, to get exposure to the oil price on an expected rebound.

I think overall, the markets are due for a slight correction before looking to move higher throughout the latter half of the year. Feel free to contact me for any research on the above stocks and what I am basing my thoughts on.

LP

Trade Alert – Buy US WTI Crude Oil

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Hi all,

I’m a firm believer in this trade alert just issued. You can see the trade alert details further down by clicking the text. I think we will see a strong rebound in the price of oil in the months to come. Please look at the seasonal chart below to see the average price action of Crude Oil over the past 20 years. As you can see, coming into February is when we should start to see a strong move higher as the Northern hemisphere looks to begin their summer. With such massive sell offs in the last 6 months, I think this trade is primed to see some strong returns.

Clients, please contact me about how you can get crude oil exposure in your account through a futures trade, futures options, commodity CFD’s or stock/CFD ETF products with exposure to the oil price.

Non-clients, please ask me about how you can look to open an account with BBY and myself in order to invest in these trade alerts. Visit www.pilkingtontrading.com.au for more on client benefits and the types of accounts available to you through BBY.

Seasonal Chart:

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You can view the Trade Alert by clicking here.

2014 BBY Energy Conference – Melbourne and Sydney

BBY Limited will be hosting its annual 2014 Energy Conference in Melbourne and Sydney in early September.

Sydney – 2nd September 2014

Melbourne – 3rd September 2014

Join BBY at this conference to find out how you can seize these oil and gas opportunities. Enjoy insightful presentations from the companies listed below.

Please register your interest by contacting Luke Pilkington on (03) 8660 7260 or ltp@bby.com.au

Energy

conference

Real Energy Initial Public Offering.

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*As time is running out to get bids in, please contact me as soon as possible in order to register your interest. The offer closes this Friday 22/11/13. I personally think this stock may take a bit longer to see results and show this in their share price than the other previous floats mentioned below. I see this stock making returns in about 6-10 months.

Luke Pilkington, Private Client Advisor, BBY Limited.

P: 03 8660 7260 E: ltp@bby.com.au

The interest in this IPO is right up there. We have just seen Regeneus, that was floated last month by BBY Limited, trade at $0.54 after floating at $0.25. BBY has a history of successful IPO’s with the last two Regeneus (RGS) and Strata X (SXA), currently up 116% and 36% respectively. BBY was also the lead manager for the Kina Petroleum IPO in 2011. The stock floated at $0.20 and is currently up 145% at $0.49.

Don’t miss out on this stock. Other brokers have registered there interest and want a firm allocation of how much stock they are able to offer their clients. Please make sure you contact me to register your interest or submit bids in order to get priority allocation of the stock over brokers/clients outside of BBY.

The details of the float are as follows:

Real is a compelling investment story and has some unique features not usually associated with an IPO:

–          Real has ~2m acres in the Cooper basin and is targeting 3 separate plays, the first 2 to be tested during the first drilling program

–          All current shareholders are escrowed for 12 months (those that aren’t ASX mandatory and voluntary escrowed their stock). The only stock that will trade in the first 12 months is the IPO stock.

–          IPO subscribers receive a loyalty option which vests 120 days after listing. 1:2 basis,            30c, 18 month expiry, listed

–          Company currently has $5.7m in cash, will have circa $15m post IPO

–          Current shareholders committed to take approx. $4m of the IPO offer

–          EV/Valuation per acre ~$13 vs. Cooper basin average of ~$115/acre. Recent transactions have been as high as ~$900/acre (Chevron $350m farm-in to Beach Petroleum)

Offer Details

Amount:                             $10 million

Market Capitalisation:    ~$41.9 (immediately following the offer based on $0.25/share)

Price:                                   $0.25/share with 1:2 fee attaching option (30c)

Offer closes:                      22 November 2013 (Company reserves the right to close early)

ASX Listing:                        ~5 December 2013

Restrictions:                       Offer being made under Prospectus and open to institutional, sophisticated and retail clients

Jurisdictions:                      Please refer Prospectus for jurisdictions outside of Australia

Why we like it at BBY?

  • The Cooper-Eromanga is a proven hydrocarbon province with a long established oil and gas industry which is in the advanced process of ‘proof of concept” stage for its significant unconventional oil and gas resources.
    • The basin is well serviced by oil and gas pipeline infrastructure and service providers;
    • Many other companies including Beach Energy/Chevron, Santos, BG/Drillsearch and Senex are chasing the same play throughout the basin. Hence strong potential news flow;
    • Over 2,800 petroleum wells have been drilled since the 1950’s and there are 160 gas fields and 80 oil fields, containing approx. 640 producing gas wells and 350 producing oil wells. Over 6Tcf of gas and 300MMbbl produced.
  • Potential for substantial valuation uplift from:-
    • (1) exploration and development success;
    • (2) further consolidation in the basin; and
    • (3) success from peers operating across the basin who are at a more advanced stage and operating current programs.
  • Gross Mean Petroleum-in-Place – ~19 billion bbl & 45 TCF gas (est. by AWT International & internal sources). Company has a number of conventional oil & gas prospects and leads (up to 21 MMbbl and 111 BCF) which has the potential to generate early cash flow;
  • Valuation: EV/acre is ~$13 vs. basin average of $115/acre;
  • Company will be well funded, currently has ~$5.7m cash at bank pre IPO raise;
  • Register consists – Directors (30%), Och-Ziff (11%) and Asian based HNW (23%).  All are voluntarily escrowed for 12 months;
  • Directors and management ex Mosaic Oil NL;
  •  Structure of Offer:
    • Loyalty Option for IPO investors
    • Seed shareholders have agreed to 12 months voluntary escrow.
    • Substantial number of Seed shareholders participating in IPO.

Important Dates

Offer Closing Date 22 November 2013
Settlement under the Offer 27 November 2013
Basis of New Share allocation announced 27 November 2013
Expected issue and allotment of New Shares 27 November 2013
Expected date for despatch of holding statements 2 December 2013
Shares Commence Trading on ASX on a normal T+3 basis 5 December 2013

Happy Trading.